Once it is established that the rising prices of goods and services is a
symptom, rather than a cause of inflation, we can see more easily why
periods of high inflation are coincident with times of economic
hardship. Inflation, as defined as an increase of money supply, is
detrimental because it detracts money away from wealth-generators toward
the holders of the newly created money.
This results in a misallocation of resources, which Ludwig von Mises termed 'malinvestment'-
Usually the first holders of this money created literally 'out of thin
air' are the banks. As such they can direct a large proportion of the
newly created wealth to themselves. Through the fractional reserve banking
system new loans are created and the newly created money is passed on
to various entrepreneurial activities. Some of these will be true
wealth-generators, but some will not. However, because of the abundance
of 'easy money' it is difficult in the early stages of the boom to
determine which is which.
So far both the primary recipients and the secondary recipients have
done well from the influx of new money. The secondary recipients will
employ workers who will also benefit from the inflationary monetary
policy. These new jobs and companies will create localized areas of
prosperity. So far so good.
The problem arises because of the fact that one cannot get 'something
for nothing'- As the new money trickles down it does so in a diminishing
fashion. In fact, there will be people within the society that will
never receive any of the newly created money! However, these very same
people will be affected by rising prices in goods and services. They now
face higher prices with the same amount of money as they had before.
They will be forced to curtail their spending on certain items that may
lead to a decrease in demand for those goods and services. This reflects
the notion that the newly injected money is non-neutral - a 10%
increase in the money supply will not lead to a simple 10% increase in
prices across the board.
An Example---
To use an example, let us assume that the U-S- government decides to
spend money on a new computer system for jets. Let us also assume that
this money is newly created money - it wasn't collected through taxation
or the issuing of government bonds (i-e. debt)- This newly created
money first goes to the people involved with the company that designs
and manufactures these said computer systems. Accordingly, these people
become wealthier and have more to spend. Let us assume that they buy
cars and wine. Now the new money has gone to those people involved with
the making of cars and wine. They in turn buy books and shoes. Now those
people become wealthier. And so on---
Now what about the average person who doesn't work in these industries.
All he sees is an increase in cars, wine, books and shoes. He now has
less to spend on beer and pretzels. So now the beer and pretzel industry
experiences a downturn. New entrepreneurs, seek business opportunities
within the car, wine, book and shoe industries and avoid the making of
beer and pretzels.
So what we have is an unequal increase in the pricing of certain goods
and services. Some go up, while others actually go down. We also
experience a transfer of capital investment from some industries to
others-
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